Talk:Construction/@comment-103.247.132.77-20140121163635/@comment-118.96.158.18-20140121165446

Are you referring to the stat in the chart that has been circulating here lately? One which says that Taihou probability is somewhere more than 10%?

In case you are, let me tell you that the chart is, at best, unreliable, because it is made up of respondents who mostly reported confirmation instead of full report of crafting result using a certain recipe for a number of times. In short, they only reported successes (getting the ship they want), but rarely reported failures (getting the ship they don't want).

To better describe it, say, I blew my resources doing a weird recipe of all 6001s with 100 devmats - 50 times. The moment I got Taihou, I reported it to the chart-maker, saying, "Hey, I got Taihou with 6001/6001/6001/6001/100!", but I didn't tell them about my 49 tries that resulted in Tones, Nagatos, Mutsus, Maruyus, etc. The next time the chart is updated, there will be an entry stating my recipe, with one respondent, with 100% listed probability of Taihou. Fun, huh?