Talk:General Discussion/@comment-25275851-20141012050515/@comment-100.2.110.83-20141012132642

Ok. Let me give an example.

When you roll a single 6-faced die, the chance of getting the number 3 is always 1/6, no matter how many times you roll it. You may get the number 3 in one try. It may take you exactly 6 tries to finally get the number 3. Or it may take you 10 tries. 20 tries. Or more if you're really, really unlucky.

It never ceases to amaze me how people can misunderstand probability. It's so basic.