Talk:Winter 2016 Event/@comment-188.153.240.130-20160219232028/@comment-26154973-20160219233050

This is why you need KNAWLEDGE. There was no Libeccio on Easy in http://db.kcwiki.moe/drop/map/333/1/L-SAB.html the whole time, and you need not just one recorded drop, but many, so you can estimate CI for drop rate (maybe add some rates for other "consolation prizes") and decide if it's worth trying.