Talk:General Discussion/@comment-24945625-20140909194730/@comment-139.193.100.136-20140910034142

I spent 20k fuel but only about 12k ammo for E2. Needed to make 49 tries to pass. Level 104. Basically, this game is more about statistics than actual luck. Yes, if your luck is good you get better results right away, but for people who don't have that luck, you can still go through it by grinding through the numbers game until you get the appropriate result. In mathematics this is called overwhelming the probability curve. This is also why there are crazy people like me who pile up 200k resources before the event, because we know we'll need to burn through it all.

Here's my advice:

1. Find out where you stand on the probability curve by doing some statistics testing. Run a high-randomness map like 3-4 or 5-4 with a reasonably-priced fleet and keep notes on how many tries it takes you to clear the map, say, 10 times, and how much resources you spent on it.

2. Try again with your MOST COSTLY FLEET and take notes again.

3. Repeat 1 and 2 in 5-3.

4. Compare the results of 1 to 3. You might think using a reasonably-priced fleet is redundant, but in fact it can be more costly in aggregate because a costly fleet is often also a more powerful fleet, thus more capable of finishing the sortie with a victory. Find the highest expenditure and multiply by 1.5.

5. Multiply the number you get in 4 by 6 (the number of maps in latest event). This is the amount you'll need to gather by the next event. For me this was 170k fuel, 140k ammo, 210k steel, and only 40k baux.

6. Start grinding.