Talk:Fall 2019 Event/@comment-31894513-20200110022541/@comment-26809641-20200111052851

Not necessarily. It's true that if it worked that way, we would expect some people to get the ship in fewer tries and some to get it in more tries. However, that would also be true if the attempts were independent, as well. If I asked a thousand people to flip a coin one hundred times each, I would expect some to get more than fifty heads and some to get fewer.