Talk:Winter 2016 Event/@comment-27796408-20160215143646/@comment-27119040-20160215163007

Eh, I think there's a difference between programmed RNG, pseudo-random number generators, and real-life slot machines. I for one feel that if you were to say something along the lines of, "my 1% chance will definitely come up some time soon" in regards to gambling, sure! It's not gonna happen. Don't even bother.

But this is a game. It's all numbers. It's just numbers. And on paper, with numbers, probability says that your odds *should* be getting better the longer things go. The fact that it's literally just numbers means that there's nothing influencing the increase or decrease of the odds.

I don't know, I'm really tired, but think of it this way: you can only get the other, what, 99.8% or whatever it is, that much of the time. The other 0.2% or whatever Prinz Eugen drops at... after a certain point the likelihood of that finally coming around increases to the point where you're seriously going against probability if she is still not dropping, i.e. you can only get trash for so long before it becomes unlikely that you are going to continue to receive trash, because you've been dropped it too much, so the numbers will eventually come up good.

It's 3:30AM.