Talk:Expedition/@comment-11780006-20141227232042/@comment-84.188.110.51-20141231084423

Anonymous poster from 2 days ago here:

I lost my own logs, but the end result of the tests (done by multiple persons) showed that you have around a 50% chance for Great Success with no sparkles and that the number of drums doesn't matter at all.

The numbers as a table:

Ex | Drums | Sparkles | Sorties | Number of GS | GS Chance (rounded)

38 |    18    |        2      |    78     |          65          | 83%

37 |    18    |        2      |    70     |          59          | 84%

21 |    18    |        2      |    68     |          56          | 82%

38 |    18    |        0      |    64     |          31          | 48%

37 |    18    |        0      |    58     |          30          | 52%

21 |    18    |        0      |    58     |          28          | 48%

38 |     8     |        0      |    60     |          31          | 52%

37 |     4     |        0      |    60     |          30          | 50%

21 |     3     |        0      |    67     |          34          | 51%

38 |     8     |        2      |    75     |          62          | 83%

37 |     4     |        2      |    76     |          64          | 84%

21 |     3     |        2      |    84     |          69          | 82%

38 |     8     |        3      |    38     |          36          | 95%

37 |     4     |        3      |    38     |          37          | 97%

21 |     3     |        3      |    41     |          40          | 98%