Talk:Spring 2015 Event/@comment-84.90.161.45-20150510171234/@comment-26336961-20150510194419

Well realisticaly it's lower then that because node K doesn't drop every time, also probabilities don't work like that, if you could just multiply, you'd end up with ridiculous things like 50% chance = 100% chance in 2 sortie.

You have lets say 1.3% chance of obtaining her on a S rank on node K.

Node K has a drop at all in say (groundless estimation) 70% of clears.

You have to accept that around 30% of your runs will yield nothing.

There is nothing you can do to increase the chances of her droping in any way at all, it will always be the same 1.3% no matter what, on run 1, 100 or 1000.

However you can't hit the target if you dan't shoot, also, given infinite amount of tries you will eventually hit the target.

Now how many bullets do you have and how many times are you willing to keep shooting ?

Well enough of the boring semantics, good luck !