Talk:Type 0 Observation Seaplane/@comment-27362593-20160806202941/@comment-26154973-20160806211647

Statistically, the probability of getting 2 (or more) in 100 tries is just ~60% (1 - pbinom(2 - 1, 100, 0.02)).

Also, 100 attempts is 2000 bauxite, which is ~10 hours (20 * 100 / ((80 * 1.5 * 1.22) * 3 / 2)) of expedition 6.