Talk:Spring 2015 Event/@comment-84.90.161.45-20150510171234/@comment-26336961-20150510220118

I'm sorry it seems i wasn't able to comunicate my point clearly, rather then discuss math, i was rather using your example to answer the OP question about "increasing chances to drop".

Although i will admit it was my mistake i just skimed through your post and jumped to conclusion before really checking the number you used, my bad, it's just that whenever someone starts talking about things like "accumulated chance" it makes my skin crawl and i tend to overreact. Personal bias toward the subject.

In the end the reality of things is regardless of probability calculation on large number of attempts it doesn't increase in any way each individual clear results, be it run 1 or 1000 that 1.3% will stay 1.3% for that particular run.

Hence i would advise the op to refer to my earlier post about bacon and virgins.