Talk:Fall 2019 Event/@comment-31894513-20200110022541/@comment-103.208.220.146-20200111031553

That is if each result is as independent as flipping a coin. The simplest and rigid form of RNG is that its sample space must obey its set probability. If a number from 1-100 fails to appear for 99 times, it has way higher likelihood, possibly even of 100%, to appear on 100th try. Unfortunately, it's a possibility that the RNG is shared across a pool of players. The fact that some players took >100 tries to get someone when they shouldn't while others took only a handful of sorties, as well as how the PoiDB's calculated probability approach one point after a long period of time, seem to reinforce that idea.