Talk:Expedition/@comment-217.17.23.64-20141009121056/@comment-122.11.215.219-20141009132631

either the 50% chance is not reliable or it's really lower than that.....

I tried sparkling half my fleet (3 out of 6 ships), thinking that this would bring me to near 100% chance of great success (each sparkled ship gives 100/6 = roughly 16% as stated, 3 sparkles would give approximately 48%, + the supposed 50% passive bonus for drum expeditions, that brings it to about 98%, theoretically speaking).

Well, with only 3 sparkles, I have failed about.... 2 out of 10 times. i don't think i'm THAT unlucky to fail on that 2%, and twice to boot.

Bottomline is, while drum expeds give a passive "50% chance" as reported, don't rely on it too much. sparkle about 4 ships (all the way til 85 morale) and that should last you alot of runs.