Talk:Spring 2016 Event/@comment-24950702-20160516073824/@comment-26262450-20160516093456

Do I really need to explain it more clearly? I'm not talking about the probability of being targeted and becoming Taiha, I'm talking about the liklihood of being targeted before you are able to fire yourself. This is completely different to the standard (if you ignore fs position and other crap) you have 1/6 shot of being targeted. I'm assuming that after your ship fires you no longer care if she is targeted because her job is done.

So let's assume you enter a night battle with a fresh fleet on both sides where the first 3 ships of the enemy will survive to target your fleet.

The first ship you have has 0 opportunites to be attacked before she fires, the second has 1 opportunity to be attacked. third 2, and 4th has 3 chances.

The 5th has anywhere between 3-4 chances of being fired upon

The 6th has anywhere between 3-5 chances of taking fire before she herself gets to shoot.